Alibaba stock (BABA) forecasts for 2025 vary, but analysts generally see potential for upside, with average price targets around $150 to $167, suggesting modest gains from late 2025 levels, driven by growth in its cloud/AI business and cost controls, though facing competition and macroeconomic risks in China. Some analysts see it as undervalued, while others suggest a "hold" or cautious "buy," expecting growth to stabilize rather than rebound to past highs.
Based on short-term price targets offered by 21 analysts, the average price target for Alibaba comes to $198.58. The forecasts range from a low of $162.00 to a high of $231.00. The average price target represents an increase of 34.76% from the last closing price of $147.36.
Alibaba Was the Market's Favorite Chinese AI Stock in 2025: What's BABA's 2026 Forecast? Chinese stocks had a strong year and are set to outperform the U.S. markets in 2025. The rally in Chinese stocks, which began last year after the country started unleashing stimulus measures, gained traction this year.
Alibaba stock forecast 2025-2030: Analyst price targets
MarketBeat calculates an average 12-month price target of $167.40 for Alibaba as of 15 September 2025, with a range spanning $145.00 to $195.00, based on 15 analyst ratings.
Some analysts expect the BABA price to fall to $70–$80, while others predict a recovery to $180–$225. Analysts' expectations for 2027–2030 diverge even more. Some predict a significant price decline. However, several analysts anticipate a significant increase to $350–$400 and above.
Alibaba Group's BABA aggressive AI strategy is rapidly becoming an expensive gamble that threatens to destroy shareholder value rather than create it. Despite appearing cheap on traditional metrics, Alibaba represents a classic value trap where superficial attractiveness masks deeper structural problems.
With its 4-star rating, we believe Alibaba's stock is moderately undervalued compared with our long-term fair value estimate of $258 per share.
Description. Alibaba Group (BABA) has announced a dividend of $1.05 with an ex date of June 12, 2025 and a payment date of July 10, 2025.
The MSCI China exchange-traded fund increased 29% in 2025, outperforming the S&P 500's 16% gain. China's 'old economy,' comprising 80% of GDP, faces challenges including declining property prices and declining investments in fixed assets.
Yes, it can be safe to purchase through Alibaba, but you need to take precautions. Alibaba offers several features to help ensure the safety of your transactions: Trade Assurance: This free service protects your orders if the products do not meet the agreed-upon quality standards or if they are not shipped on time.
While margin pressure persists in its core retail business, analysts see cloud computing and AI as the key drivers of growth in 2026. Overall, Wall Street remains bullish on Alibaba's long-term prospects, with forecasts pointing to about 40% upside over the next twelve months.
Compared with the current share price, this suggests Alibaba is trading at roughly a 41.4% discount to its estimated fair value. This points to a notable margin of safety for long term investors. Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Alibaba Group Holding is undervalued by 41.4%.
The Top 3 Risks Alibaba Investors Should Not Ignore
According to projections from 42 analysts, the average 12-month price target for Alibaba ADR is 195.12119414, with a high estimate of 258.58056009 and a low estimate of 124.88806719.
Alibaba hasn't undertaken a traditional forward stock split on its US-listed BABA shares. Instead, in June 2024 the company implemented a reverse stock split, consolidating existing shares into a smaller number of higher-priced shares.
In the September 2025 quarter, Alibaba reported cloud revenue growth of 34% year over year, making it the company's fastest-growing major segment. Management also disclosed that AI-related cloud revenue continued to grow at triple-digit rates.
Is Alibaba stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Alibaba stock has received a consensus rating of buy.
Alibaba is so cheap primarily because it connects buyers directly to Chinese manufacturers, eliminating middlemen and retail markups, leveraging low labor/production costs in China, and facilitating bulk purchases (wholesale). Other factors include cheaper raw materials, lower energy costs, minimal consumer-focused marketing expenses for these B2B suppliers, and the platform's business model which encourages direct negotiation and large order volumes, driving prices down even further.
By analysing the chart of Alibaba, we can see evidence of an end to the downtrend. The first thing to notice is the range between 110 and 130 USD in which the price has been trading since December 2021. The trade volume in this range is also increasing. This means investors have gradually started to buy the shares.
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